Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-26

MIA @ TOR

Home plate: Gabe Morales

“The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, TOR
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Gabe Morales called the 127 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 121 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Connor Norby — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Joe Mack — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Jakob Marsee — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.20▲2 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Connor Norby vs Spencer Miles
  2. 2-0.13▼7 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Lenyn Sosa vs Cade Gibson
  3. 3+0.10▼2 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Lenyn Sosa vs Sandy Alcantara

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Connor Norby — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Joe Mack — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Jakob Marsee — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.