Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-26

MIA @ TOR

Home plate: Gabe Morales

A tilt to the evening — the numbers say which way.

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, TOR
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Gabe Morales called the 127 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 118 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Connor Norby — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Jakob Marsee — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.692 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Connor Norby vs Spencer Miles
  2. 2-0.309 · 3-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Jakob Marsee vs Tanner Andrews
  3. 3-0.202 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Connor Norby vs Spencer Miles

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Connor Norby — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Jakob Marsee — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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