Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-27

TB @ BAL

Home plate: Lance Barksdale

“A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.9% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, BAL
2
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barksdale called the 147 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 138 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ryan Vilade — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼1 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Coby Mayo vs Steven Matz
  2. 2+0.28▲3 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Richie Palacios vs Trey Gibson
  3. 3+0.28▲6 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Ryan Vilade vs Trey Gibson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Ryan Vilade — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.