Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-30

SD @ WSH

Home plate: Derek Thomas

Pitchers found a little extra real estate.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.0% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, WSH
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Derek Thomas called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 153 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ramón Laureano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Drew Millas — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Rodolfo Durán — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: James Wood — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Gavin Sheets — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.697 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Rodolfo Durán vs Brad Lord
  2. 2-0.217 · 3-0 ball called strike
    José Tena vs Michael King
  3. 3-0.218 · 3-0 ball called strike· challenged
    Xander Bogaerts vs Gus Varland

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ramón Laureano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Drew Millas — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Rodolfo Durán — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4James Wood — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Gavin Sheets — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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