Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · SS · San Diego Padres

Xander Bogaerts

B/T R/R · 6' 2" · 218 lb · born Oranjestad, Aruba · age 33 · played SS 131, DH 2 · MLB debut 2013-08-20

Last 14 days (through 2026-09-04): 12 G · .205 AVG · 0 HR · 5 RBI · .582 OPS

527 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

On the record · career milestones this season

1,000 career runs scored Mon, Aug 31 · night game vs. Cincinnati Reds The scorecard → · The write-up →

200 career home runs Wed, Apr 15 · night game vs. Seattle Mariners The scorecard →

The card rack

FlagshipXander Bogaerts #133 · 2014 Topps · 114 recent sales 7N 0%

$1.82Raw$7.44PSA 9$14.75PSA 10$19.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 20 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-09-04 · paid links

See all on eBay →

The rookieXander Bogaerts #H550 · 2014 Topps Heritage · 42 recent sales 7N 0%

$2.50Raw$9.47PSA 9$20.00PSA 10$120BGS 10PSA 10 · 20 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-09-04 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of September 4, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Bogaerts crossed 1,000 career runs on August 31, and the page is up for the milestone. But the engine is on something more honest: an EV95 of 105.66 and a luck gap of -0.0508 across 359 balls in play — the best sample on this page — say his .216 MLB season line is underselling the contact. The overlay of 0.4491 is a green light. The Aruban shortstop who debuted at 20 is 33 now, and his last 12 MLB games (.184, no extra-base hits) are a rut, not a read.

Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

We wrote about Bogaerts hereThe Overnight: 1,000 career runs scored (August 31, 2026)

Current signals

The read: Bogaerts is in the Index for the milestone watch — career No. 1000 R landed August 31. Milestone nights are when the hobby pays attention, so the page is up for the chase. The boards stay honest: a milestone is an event, not a signal.

OWEDhis contact has outrun his line. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)
105.585
Age
33
The shape of the seasonEV95 104.6 106.6 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 105.585 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 382 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95105.646
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.35940
  3. Got (aVal)0.2938
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped-0.04991

today · 30 days ago, against the 341 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$25.5M
Guaranteed
$280.0M
Term
11 yrs

What the sheet prices each season at

Season20262027202820292030203120322033
Salary$25.0M$25.0M$25.0M$25.0M$25.0M$25.0M$25.0M$25.0M

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Xander Bogaerts

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Xander Bogaerts cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

Umpire favor

+1.8 net runs over 70 graded gamesthe zone was kind to the umpire on balance.

Biggest swings: +1.4 · +0.4

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2013Boston Red SoxMLB1844711151513.250.684
2014Boston Red SoxMLB144538601291246239138.240.659
2015Boston Red SoxMLB156613841967811032101.320.776
2016Boston Red SoxMLB15765211519221891358123.294.802
2017Boston Red SoxMLB1485719415610621556116.273.746
2018Boston Red SoxMLB1365137214823103855102.288.882
2019Boston Red SoxMLB15561411019033117476122.309.939
2020Boston Red SoxMLB562033661112882141.300.866
2021Boston Red SoxMLB144529901562379562113.295.863
2022Boston Red SoxMLB150557841711573857118.307.833
2023San Diego PadresMLB1555968317019581956110.285.790
2024San Diego PadresMLB111428501131144132879.264.688
2025San Diego PadresMLB136491631291153204894.263.719
2026San Diego PadresMLB13345252991151196693.219.644
MLB CAREER17996801100019212088891456591363.282.786

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →