Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-17

SD @ SEA

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

The corners were friendlier in one direction tonight.

D
Umpire Grade
88.4% accurate
3.0
Run Favor
runs, SD
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 164 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 145 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Dominic Canzone — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Leo Rivas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.693 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Mitch Garver vs Lucas Giolito
  2. 2+0.695 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Xander Bogaerts vs George Kirby
  3. 3+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Manny Machado vs George Kirby

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Freddy Fermin — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Dominic Canzone — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Leo Rivas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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