Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-31

TOR @ BAL

Home plate: Todd Tichenor

Two dugouts, and only one of them smiling.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.7% accurate
1.5
Run Favor
runs, BAL
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Todd Tichenor called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Andrés Giménez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Blaze Alexander — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.692 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Samuel Basallo vs Spencer Miles
  2. 2-0.697 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Andrés Giménez vs Kyle Bradish
  3. 3+0.305 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Andrés Giménez vs Kyle Bradish

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Andrés Giménez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Blaze Alexander — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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