Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-05

MIL @ COL

Home plate: Rob Drake

Expanded the plate a touch past its 17 inches.

B
Umpire Grade
92.8% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, MIL
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 193 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 179 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Sal Frelick — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Chad Stevens — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jake McCarthy — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.692 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Sal Frelick vs Ryan Feltner
  2. 2-0.204 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Sal Frelick vs Ryan Feltner
  3. 3-0.2010 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Jake McCarthy vs Aaron Ashby

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Sal Frelick — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Chad Stevens — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Jake McCarthy — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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