Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-06

TB @ MIA

Home plate: Mark Wegner

The zone had wings tonight.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.6% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, MIA
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Wegner called the 159 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 144 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Taylor Walls — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Xavier Edwards — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.282 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Connor Norby vs Shane McClanahan
  2. 2-0.286 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Nick Fortes vs Calvin Faucher
  3. 3-0.219 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Ben Williamson vs Pete Fairbanks

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Taylor Walls — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Xavier Edwards — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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