Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-09

HOU @ LAA

Home plate: Dillon Wilson

“Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.2% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, HOU
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Dillon Wilson called the 188 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 179 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cam Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Sebastián Rivero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Denzer Guzman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.19▲7 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Shay Whitcomb vs Brent Suter
  2. 2-0.13▲4 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Jeremy Peña vs Walbert Ureña
  3. 3-0.13▼3 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Mike Trout vs Kai-Wei Teng

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Cam Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Sebastián Rivero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Denzer Guzman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.