Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-17

COL @ CHC

Home plate: John Libka

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.8% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, CHC
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how John Libka called the 162 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 152 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.398 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Nico Hoerner vs Jimmy Herget
  2. 2+0.201 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Seiya Suzuki vs Sean Sullivan
  3. 3+0.132 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Carson Kelly vs Sean Sullivan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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