Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-19

WSH @ TB

Home plate: Will Little

The zone kept its promises.

B
Umpire Grade
93.0% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, WSH
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 114 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 106 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: CJ Abrams — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Hunter Feduccia — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.136 · 1-0 ball called strike
    James Wood vs Steven Matz
  2. 2-0.136 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Cedric Mullins vs Miles Mikolas
  3. 3+0.109 · 0-1 strike called ball· challenged
    CJ Abrams vs Bryan Baker

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1CJ Abrams — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Hunter Feduccia — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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