Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-20

CLE @ HOU

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A
Umpire Grade
97.0% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, CLE
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 131 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 127 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Rhys Hoskins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.392 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Kahlil Watson vs Spencer Arrighetti
  2. 2-0.289 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Jose Altuve vs Matt Festa
  3. 3+0.096 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Rhys Hoskins vs Spencer Arrighetti

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Rhys Hoskins — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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