Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-20

CWS @ DET

Home plate: Stu Scheurwater

The zone kept its promises.

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, CWS
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Stu Scheurwater called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 143 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Troy Melton — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Sam Antonacci — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Drew Romo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Drew Romo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.138 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Jake Rogers vs Chris Murphy
  2. 2+0.132 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Tristan Peters vs Troy Melton
  3. 3+0.104 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Jacob Gonzalez vs Troy Melton

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Troy Melton — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Sam Antonacci — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jake Rogers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Drew Romo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Drew Romo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Jake Rogers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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