Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-22

KC @ TB

Home plate: Gabe Morales

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A
Umpire Grade
95.6% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, TB
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Gabe Morales called the 135 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 129 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Maikel Garcia — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jonathan Aranda — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Lane Thomas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Ryan Vilade — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.138 · 1-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Maikel Garcia vs Cole Sulser
  2. 2-0.138 · 1-0 ball called strike· challenged
    Jonathan Aranda vs John Schreiber
  3. 3-0.139 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Salvador Perez vs Craig Kimbrel

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Maikel Garcia — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jonathan Aranda — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Lane Thomas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Ryan Vilade — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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