Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-23

HOU @ TOR

Home plate: Brian Walsh

Tonight's zone had a rooting interest.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.5% accurate
1.5
Run Favor
runs, TOR
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Brian Walsh called the 199 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 182 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Taylor Trammell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brice Matthews — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Jesús Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.289 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Nathan Lukes vs Josh Hader
  2. 2+0.205 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Brandon Valenzuela vs Peter Lambert
  3. 3+0.195 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Peter Lambert

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Taylor Trammell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Brice Matthews — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Jesús Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Brandon Valenzuela — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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