Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-24

AZ @ STL

Home plate: Bruce Dreckman

Borderline went to the battery all night.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.0% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, STL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Bruce Dreckman called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 135 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.391 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Corbin Carroll vs Matthew Liberatore
  2. 2+0.304 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Gabriel Moreno vs Matthew Liberatore
  3. 3-0.232 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Pedro Pagés vs Mitch Bratt

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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