Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-27

Called it the way the rulebook drew it up.

A
Umpire Grade
96.6% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, MIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Shane Livensparger called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 144 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tristan Gray — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Willi Castro — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Victor Caratini vs Michael Lorenzen
  2. 2-0.197 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Tyler Freeman vs Kody Funderburk
  3. 3+0.134 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Troy Johnston vs Mike Paredes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tristan Gray — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Willi Castro — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Cole Carrigg — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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