Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-28

CHC @ MIL

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.

C
Umpire Grade
89.1% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, CHC
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 174 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 155 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Dansby Swanson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.695 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Christian Yelich vs Bryse Wilson
  2. 2+0.699 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Ian Happ vs Trevor Megill
  3. 3+0.3010 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Garrett Mitchell vs Jordan Wicks

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Dansby Swanson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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