Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-02

CIN @ MIL

Home plate: Dan Merzel

“Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.”

A+
Umpire Grade
97.5% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, CIN
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 158 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 154 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Eugenio Suárez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.23▼8 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Brice Turang vs Tejay Antone
  2. 2-0.21▼6 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Christian Yelich vs Chase Burns
  3. 3+0.20▲1 · 2-1 strike called ball
    JJ Bleday vs Jacob Misiorowski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Sal Stewart — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Eugenio Suárez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.