Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-04

TB @ HOU

Home plate: Alex Tosi

“Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.7% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, TB
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 169 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 160 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Junior Caminero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Cedric Mullins — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Junior Caminero — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲4 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Cedric Mullins vs Hunter Brown
  2. 2-0.19▼3 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Yordan Alvarez vs Drew Rasmussen
  3. 3-0.13▲2 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Jonny DeLuca vs Hunter Brown

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Junior Caminero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Cedric Mullins — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Junior Caminero — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.