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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-05

NYM @ ATL

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

“Nothing off the plate, and not much on the black either.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.0% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, NYM
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 167 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 152 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Drake Baldwin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Mark Vientos — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Drake Baldwin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Matt Olson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Drake Baldwin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Jorge Mateo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲7 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Brett Baty vs Dylan Dodd
  2. 2+0.39▼6 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Dominic Smith vs Nolan McLean
  3. 3+0.13▼1 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Matt Olson vs Nolan McLean

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Drake Baldwin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Mark Vientos — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Drake Baldwin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Matt Olson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Drake Baldwin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Jorge Mateo — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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