Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · 1B · Atlanta Braves

Matt Olson

B/T L/R · 6' 4" · 225 lb · born Atlanta, GA, USA · age 32 · draft 2012 rd C-A · played 1B 133, RF 1 · MLB debut 2016-09-12

Last 14 days (through 2026-08-27): 12 G · .222 AVG · 2 HR · 4 RBI · .722 OPS

581 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

On the record · career milestone this season

300 career home runs Mon, May 4 · night game vs. Seattle Mariners The scorecard → · The write-up →

The card rack

FlagshipMatt Olson / Shohei Ohtani #307 · 2024 Topps Heritage · 166 recent sales 7N 0%

$1.41Raw$14.53PSA 9$38.74PSA 10$50.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

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The rookieMatt Olson #98 · 2017 Topps Chrome · 317 recent sales 7N 0%

$4.74Raw$20.13PSA 9$64.00PSA 10$83.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 42 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 27, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

The 91st percentile of our bat tracking belongs to Olson — an EV95 of 109.5, results within 0.008 of what the physics support. Nothing owed, nothing borrowed. Born in Atlanta, a 2012 compensation-round pick who debuted in 2016, he has 324 career home runs and 36 this season, third in the sport. The board sees no mispricing: he sits 100th of 372 on the composite, where the board takes 20. The last two weeks — .180 over 13 games — are a cold spell, not a signal.

We wrote about Olson hereThe Buzz August 17, 2026 · August 5, 2026 · The Overnight: 300 career home runs (May 4, 2026) · 3-for-5, HR, 2 2B, BB (April 2, 2026)

Current signals

The read: Olson is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 109.5 (91st percentile of the 373 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.010 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 96 of 373 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

SQUAREthe line and the bat agree. Where he sits in the league →

Age
32
The shape of the seasonEV95 108.0 109.5 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 109.5 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 373 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95109.591
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.48296
  3. Got (aVal)0.46396
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped-0.01057

today · 30 days ago, against the 330 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$21.0M
Guaranteed
$168.0M
Term
8 yrs
His class
Extension

What the sheet prices each season at

Season20262027202820292030
Salary$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$20.0M

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Matt Olson

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Matt Olson cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Matt Olson

The scouting press, in their own words

Matt Olson catches up with 100 vs. Schlittler. 1-0 Braves. (Previous pitch: 101)

Jon Heyman · New York Post · August 9 · on X →

Bryce Eldridge has been way better at making contact as a big leaguer this year than he ever was in the minors. 78.4 Contact% and 9.2 SwStr% with SFG this year. Puts him in line with a guy like Matt Olson. https://t.co/yKGKtSQ83k

Foolish Baseball · independent · July 15 · on X →

Umpire favor

+7.4 net runs over 56 graded gamesthe zone was kind to him on balance.

Biggest swings: +0.8 · +0.7

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2016Oakland AthleticsMLB11213200074.095.464
2017Oakland AthleticsMLB591893349244502260.2591.003
2018Oakland AthleticsMLB162580851432984270163.247.788
2019Oakland AthleticsMLB127483731293691051138.267.896
2020Oakland AthleticsMLB602102841144213477.195.734
2021Oakland AthleticsMLB15656510115339111488113.271.911
2022Atlanta BravesMLB1626168614834103075170.240.802
2023Atlanta BravesMLB162608127172541391104167.283.993
2024Atlanta BravesMLB162600781482998071170.247.790
2025Atlanta BravesMLB162624981702995191176.272.850
2026Atlanta BravesMLB133515921343778458146.260.875
MLB CAREER135650118041289325886136711384.257.861

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →