Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-10-06

LAD @ ATL

Home plate: James Hoye

“Two dugouts, and only one of them smiling.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.8% accurate
1.7
Run Favor
runs, LAD
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 153 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 142 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ronald Acuña Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Shohei Ohtani — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼6 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Matt Olson vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
  2. 2+0.69▲8 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Shohei Ohtani vs Brent Suter
  3. 3+0.23▲8 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Kyle Tucker vs Brent Suter

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ronald Acuña Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Shohei Ohtani — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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