Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-05

STL @ CHC

Home plate: Brock Ballou

“Pitchers earned every strike the hard way.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.1% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, CHC
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Brock Ballou called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 140 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Alex Bregman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.30▲1 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Alec Burleson vs Javier Assad
  2. 2+0.13▼1 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Carson Kelly vs Matthew Liberatore
  3. 3+0.13▼3 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Nico Hoerner vs Matthew Liberatore

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Iván Herrera — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Alex Bregman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.