Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-06

AZ @ SD

Home plate: Ryan Wills

“Called it the way the rulebook drew it up.”

A+
Umpire Grade
97.8% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, AZ
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 135 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 132 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Rodolfo Durán — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Rodolfo Durán — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.13▲3 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Corbin Carroll vs Walker Buehler
  2. 2+0.13▲2 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Ildemaro Vargas vs Walker Buehler
  3. 3+0.09▼3 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Rodolfo Durán vs Brandon Pfaadt

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Rodolfo Durán — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Rodolfo Durán — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.