Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-07

AZ @ SD

Home plate: Lance Barksdale

Pitchers earned every strike the hard way.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, SD
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barksdale called the 134 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 125 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: James McCann — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Geraldo Perdomo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Fernando Tatis Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: James McCann — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Gabriel Moreno vs Germán Márquez
  2. 2+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Xander Bogaerts vs Zac Gallen
  3. 3+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Manny Machado vs Zac Gallen

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1James McCann — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Geraldo Perdomo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Fernando Tatis Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4James McCann — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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