Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-07

MIL @ STL

Home plate: Clint Vondrak

“Somebody's pitching staff sent a thank-you note.”

B-
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, STL
0
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Clint Vondrak called the 137 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 126 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Bryan Torres — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼9 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Lars Nootbaar vs Abner Uribe
  2. 2+0.39▼9 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Lars Nootbaar vs Abner Uribe
  3. 3+0.23▲7 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Brice Turang vs JoJo Romero

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Bryan Torres — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.