Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-08

CHC @ BAL

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

The robots earned their keep tonight.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.6% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, BAL
5
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 168 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 159 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Taylor Ward — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Seiya Suzuki — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.285 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Taylor Ward vs Colin Rea
  2. 2+0.202 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Carson Kelly vs Dean Kremer
  3. 3-0.206 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Seiya Suzuki vs Rico Garcia

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Taylor Ward — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Seiya Suzuki — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X