Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-08

SEA @ MIA

Home plate: Laz Diaz

The zone stretched its legs.

B
Umpire Grade
92.1% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, SEA
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Laz Diaz called the 114 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 105 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Randy Arozarena — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Javier Sanoja — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.397 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Victor Robles vs Cade Gibson
  2. 2-0.399 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Cole Young vs Pete Fairbanks
  3. 3+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball
    J.P. Crawford vs Tyler Phillips

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Randy Arozarena — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Javier Sanoja — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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