Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-10

AZ @ LAD

Home plate: Austin Jones

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, LAD
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Austin Jones called the 164 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 157 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Dalton Rushing — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.286 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Teoscar Hernández vs Eduardo Rodriguez
  2. 2+0.134 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Tim Tawa vs Brock Stewart
  3. 3+0.134 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Mookie Betts vs Eduardo Rodriguez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Dalton Rushing — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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