Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-10

COL @ SF

Home plate: Ryan Wills

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.8% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, SF
3
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 194 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 178 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Willy Adames — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.691 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Casey Schmitt vs Tanner Gordon
  2. 2+0.286 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Drew Gilbert vs Brennan Bernardino
  3. 3+0.202 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Willy Adames vs Tanner Gordon

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Willy Adames — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Cole Carrigg — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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