Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-11

KC @ BAL

Home plate: Marvin Hudson

“Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.6% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, BAL
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Marvin Hudson called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 123 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Isaac Collins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Pete Alonso — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.39▲8 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Carter Jensen vs Grant Wolfram
  2. 2+0.28▼8 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Pete Alonso vs Eli Morgan
  3. 3+0.23▼5 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Leody Taveras vs Noah Cameron

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Isaac Collins — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Pete Alonso — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.