Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-12

CLE @ MIA

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

Borderline went to the battery all night.

B
Umpire Grade
92.5% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, MIA
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 161 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 149 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Steven Kwan — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Otto Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Otto Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.283 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Otto Lopez vs Joey Cantillo
  2. 2-0.209 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Otto Lopez vs Cade Smith
  3. 3-0.137 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Gabriel Arias vs Lake Bachar

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Steven Kwan — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Otto Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Otto Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X