MLB · P · Cleveland Guardians
Cade Smith
B/T R/R · 6' 5" · 230 lb · born Vancouver, BC, Canada · age 27 · draft 2017 rd 16 · played P 69 · MLB debut 2024-03-30
298 batters faced scored this season His season card →
The card rack
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FlagshipCade Smith #CPA-CS · 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph · 132 recent sales 7N ▲0%
Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links
The rookieCade Smith #US134 · 2024 Topps Update · 63 recent sales 7N ▲0%
Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links
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Scout’s note
A 16th-round pick from Vancouver who debuted in 2024, Smith has become one of the game's best closers: 41 saves, a 1.95 ERA, 107 strikeouts in 74 innings for Cleveland. He sits in the Index ungraded — our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no arm gets a board flag, even for a 2.6-WAR reliever. The ERA-FIP luck gap cleared the bar for a hand-filed regression call. For now, that's where the work sits.
Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)
Current signals
The read: Smith is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.
What he’s paid
ArbitrationA market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of .
- 2026 salary
- $5.00M
- Tax hit
- $5.00M
- Service time
- 3 yr 0 d
- Options left
- 3 / 3
The deal A1
On the sheet: A1
After this season, as the sheet has it
| Season | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | Arb 2 | Arb 3 | Free agent |
| Tax hit | — | — | — |
Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Cleveland Guardians.
A second set of books
The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.
- Tax AAV
- $0.82M
- Guaranteed
- $0.82M
- Term
- 1 yr
- His class
- Pre-Arb
What the sheet prices each season at
| Season | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Minimum | Arb 1 | Arb 2 | Arb 3 |
A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.
Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.
The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.
The Wire
▬ Quiet week on X.
X chatter, trailing 2 days · as of 2026-10-10 · newest post 2026-10-09 · summarized by Grok (xAI) · how this works →
Collect Cade Smith
If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:
Cade Smith cards on eBay →More than one big-leaguer has worn this name, so the searches say “Guardians” to keep the other one out of your results.
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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.
The Bureau on Cade Smith
The scouting press, in their own words
For the Guardians: Foster Griffin threw 53 pitches in Game 3. Gavin Williams threw 18 pitches in Game 4. Cade Smith has thrown in *every game* of the ALDS, including 31 pitches in Game 4. Their pitch counts for Game 5 will be a major factor in the result. @MLBNetwork
Here are the starting pitching match-ups for the DS: CWS - Smith vs. CLE - Messick ATL - TBD vs. LAD - Skubal NYY - Cole vs. TB - Rasmussen SD - Ray vs. MIlwaukee - The Miz
Umpire favor
-1.8 net runs over 35 graded games — the zone cost the umpire more than it gave, on balance.
The postseason
Cade Smith’s playoff games, each on its reconciled card. Kept apart from the season line below — none of it is counted in a season number on this page.
- AL League Championship Series, Game 1 · CLE vs. TB · 1.0 IP, 0 K, 0 ER
- AL Division Series, Game 5 · CLE vs. CWS · 1.2 IP, 4 K, 0 ER
- AL Division Series, Game 4 · CLE vs. CWS · 1.0 IP, 1 K, 1 ER
- AL Division Series, Game 3 · CLE vs. CWS · 2.0 IP, 5 K, 0 ER
- AL Division Series, Game 2 · CLE vs. CWS · 1.0 IP, 0 K, 0 ER
- AL Division Series, Game 1 · CLE vs. CWS · 1.0 IP, 1 K, 0 ER
The line
| Year | Team | Lvl | G | IP | W–L | SV | ERA | SO | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 74 | 75.1 | 6–1 | 1 | 1.91 | 103 | 0.90 |
| 2025 | Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 76 | 73.2 | 8–5 | 16 | 2.93 | 104 | 1.00 |
| 2026 | Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 69 | 74.0 | 6–1 | 41 | 1.95 | 107 | 0.96 |
| MLB CAREER | 219 | 223.0 | 20–7 | 58 | 2.26 | 314 | 0.96 | ||
Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →





