Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-12

HOU @ TEX

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.2% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, TEX
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 145 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Josh Jung — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.395 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Taylor Trammell vs Tyler Alexander
  2. 2+0.207 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Isaac Paredes vs Peyton Gray
  3. 3-0.197 · 2-0 ball called strike
    LaMonte Wade Jr. vs Robby Ahlstrom

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Christian Vázquez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Josh Jung — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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