Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-18

CWS @ TOR

Home plate: Manny Gonzalez

The zone shrank when the pitchers needed it most.

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, CWS
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Manny Gonzalez called the 113 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 105 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Munetaka Murakami — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.306 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Munetaka Murakami vs Shane Bieber
  2. 2+0.137 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Kyle Teel vs Jeff Hoffman
  3. 3+0.135 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Jonatan Clase vs Davis Martin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Munetaka Murakami — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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