Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

The card rack

FlagshipVladimir Guerrero Jr. #ES-2 · 2026 Bowman Electric Sluggers · 214 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.53Raw$12.36PSA 9$36.84PSA 10$48.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.14Ungraded$1.20Ungraded

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The rookieVladimir Guerrero Jr. #201 · 2019 Topps Chrome · 688 recent sales 7N ▼4.4%

$4.00Raw$14.82PSA 9$40.00PSA 10$107BGS 10PSA 10 · 39 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

$3.60Ungraded$4.00Ungraded$4.49Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 27, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is swinging one of the hardest bats in the sport — his EV95 of 110.63 tops 95% of qualified hitters — and the season hasn't reflected it. A luck gap of -0.0433 places his results below the contact for 87% of the sample; seven homers and a .688 OPS through 117 games is not what that barrel usually buys. Montreal born, he debuted in 2019 and has 190 career homers by age 27. The last two weeks have gone cold — no RBIs, no extra-base hits in seven games — which makes the breakout case harder to see in the box score but no less present in the data. He's No. 16 on the breakout board, and the physics says the low average is covering up a bat that is still elite.

Current signals

The read: Guerrero is hitting the ball harder than 95% of the 373 qualified MLB hitters in our sample (EV95 110.6; league median 105.8), while his results on contact run further below the physics than 87% of them. Loud bat, quieter stat line — the breakout shape; he ranks No. 15 of 20 on the breakout board.

OWED — his contact has outrun his line. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

110.6

Luck gap (park-adj)

-0.0418

Overlay score

0.6224

WAR (season · MLB calc)

0.9

Balls in play

383

Sprint (ft/s)

26.3

Age

27

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 22, 2026.

2026 salary

$40.21M

Tax hit

$35.71M

Service time

6 yr 157 d

Guaranteed

$500M

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Toronto Blue Jays.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$35.7M

Guaranteed

$500.0M

Term

14 yrs

His class

Extension

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

The scouting press, in their own words