Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-18

WSH @ ATH

Home plate: James Hoye

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.9% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, ATH
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 149 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Lawrence Butler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jorbit Vivas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.395 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Jorbit Vivas vs J.T. Ginn
  2. 2-0.198 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Joshua Kuroda-Grauer vs Jorbit Vivas
  3. 3+0.131 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Donovan Walton vs Zack Littell

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Lawrence Butler — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Jorbit Vivas — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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