Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-19

PIT @ CLE

Home plate: Alex MacKay

“The zone had wings tonight.”

D
Umpire Grade
86.1% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, CLE
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex MacKay called the 129 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 111 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Esmerlyn Valdez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.5*Challenge 6: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▲1 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Esmerlyn Valdez vs Joey Cantillo
  2. 2-0.28▼1 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Travis Bazzana vs Paul Skenes
  3. 3+0.28▼9 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Travis Bazzana vs Isaac Mattson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Esmerlyn Valdez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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