Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-19

TEX @ ATL

Home plate: Brennan Miller

“The zone had wings tonight.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.9% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, ATL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Brennan Miller called the 131 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 123 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Justin Foscue — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.10▲3 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Kyle Higashioka vs Grant Holmes
  2. 2-0.10▲8 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Ezequiel Duran vs Dylan Lee
  3. 3-0.10▲8 · 0-1 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Justin Foscue vs Dylan Lee

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Justin Foscue — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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