Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-20

A busy night for the machines in the truck.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.0% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, STL
5
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Shane Livensparger called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Zach Neto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Nolan Schanuel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Nolan Schanuel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jordan Walker — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Lars Nootbaar — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Jimmy Crooks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Jo Adell — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball
    JJ Wetherholt vs José Soriano
  2. 2-0.195 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Jo Adell vs Kyle Leahy
  3. 3+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Mike Trout vs Kyle Leahy

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Logan O'Hoppe — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Zach Neto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Nolan Schanuel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Nolan Schanuel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Jordan Walker — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Lars Nootbaar — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Jimmy Crooks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8Jo Adell — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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