Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-20

WSH @ COL

Home plate: Todd Tichenor

Textbook top to bottom — a quiet masterclass.

A+
Umpire Grade
97.7% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, COL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Todd Tichenor called the 128 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 125 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Harry Ford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Kyle Freeland — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    James Wood vs Kyle Freeland
  2. 2+0.093 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Kyle Karros vs Andrew Alvarez
  3. 3+0.093 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Hunter Goodman vs Andrew Alvarez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Harry Ford — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Cole Carrigg — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Kyle Freeland — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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