Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-21

STL @ LAA

Home plate: Mark Ripperger

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, STL
0
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Ripperger called the 140 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 134 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nolan Schanuel — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jorge Soler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Lars Nootbaar — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Lars Nootbaar vs Walbert Ureña
  2. 2-0.307 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Zach Neto vs Scott Blewett
  3. 3+0.233 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Jorge Soler vs Matthew Liberatore

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nolan Schanuel — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Jorge Soler — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Lars Nootbaar — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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