Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-21

TB @ TOR

Home plate: Chris Conroy

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.2% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, TB
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Conroy called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 161 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Ernie Clement — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Cedric Mullins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.286 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Jonny DeLuca vs Lazaro Estrada
  2. 2+0.202 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Nick Fortes vs Kevin Gausman
  3. 3-0.139 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Junior Caminero vs Myles Straw

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Ernie Clement — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Cedric Mullins — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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