Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-22

NYM @ MIL

Home plate: Andy Fletcher

Hawkeye did more talking than the umpire tonight.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.9% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, MIL
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Andy Fletcher called the 178 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 169 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jorge Polanco — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.692 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Garrett Mitchell vs Christian Scott
  2. 2-0.394 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Cooper Pratt vs Christian Scott
  3. 3-0.138 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Joey Ortiz vs Daniel Duarte

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jorge Polanco — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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