Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-24

CHC @ PIT

Home plate: Alex Tosi

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

A
Umpire Grade
95.0% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, PIT
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 141 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 134 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Henry Davis — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Pete Crow-Armstrong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.213 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Seiya Suzuki vs Jared Jones
  2. 2-0.196 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Ryan O'Hearn vs Matthew Boyd
  3. 3-0.134 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Ian Happ vs Jared Jones

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Henry Davis — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Pete Crow-Armstrong — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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