Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-25

ATH @ MIN

Home plate: Dillon Wilson

Nothing off the plate, and not much on the black either.

B
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, MIN
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Dillon Wilson called the 125 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 115 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Josh Bell vs Brady Basso
  2. 2+0.131 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Kody Clemens vs Brady Basso
  3. 3-0.135 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Lawrence Butler vs Taylor Rogers

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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