Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-26

CIN @ STL

Home plate: Gabe Morales

The plate grew a few inches after the first pitch.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.4% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, STL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Gabe Morales called the 183 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 171 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Noelvi Marte — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.283 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Spencer Steer vs Kyle Leahy
  2. 2-0.235 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Elly De La Cruz vs Kyle Leahy
  3. 3-0.195 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Pedro Pagés vs Andrew Abbott

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Noelvi Marte — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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