Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-26

CLE @ TB

Home plate: Tyler Jones

“An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.2% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, TB
4
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 104 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 100 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Chase DeLauter — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▼8 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Taylor Walls vs Parker Messick
  2. 2+0.13▼8 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Junior Caminero vs Colin Holderman
  3. 3+0.13▼8 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Junior Caminero vs Colin Holderman

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Chase DeLauter — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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