Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-26

SD @ MIA

Home plate: Will Little

Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, MIA
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 134 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 125 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Otto Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Griffin Conine — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Joe Mack — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Manny Machado — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Joe Mack — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Rodolfo Durán — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.203 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Sung-Mun Song vs Janson Junk
  2. 2+0.206 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Griffin Conine vs Yuki Matsui
  3. 3+0.134 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Graham Pauley vs Walker Buehler

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Otto Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Griffin Conine — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Joe Mack — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Manny Machado — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Joe Mack — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Rodolfo Durán — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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